Trump Cabinet markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
55%chance
YesNo
JD Vance out as VP by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth36%
YesNo
Susie Wiles25%
YesNo
Kash Patel out by...?
16%chance
YesNo
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?
June 30, 202765%
YesNo
January 31, 202739%
YesNo
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
23%chance
YesNo
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
3%chance
YesNo
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
17%chance
YesNo
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
20%chance
YesNo
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
147%
YesNo
627%
YesNo
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
22%chance
YesNo
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Michael Obadal41%
YesNo
Adam Telle38%
YesNo