Politics markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
YesNo
J.D. Vance34%
YesNo
$727.7M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff27%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
YesNo
$1.3B Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff20%
YesNo
JD Vance17%
YesNo
$732.5M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)95%
YesNo
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)5%
YesNo
$6M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)97%
YesNo
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)4%
YesNo
$5.2M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31100%
YesNo
November 2100%
YesNo
$40.7M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot56%
YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
YesNo
$86.9M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None95%
YesNo
AK5%
YesNo
$78.1M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen43%
YesNo
David Lisnard16%
YesNo
$166M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

280-29943%
YesNo
300-31933%
YesNo
$2M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3170%
YesNo
December 3144%
YesNo
$48M Vol.

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 598%
YesNo
November 693%
YesNo
$549.3K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%chance
YesNo
$77.9M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

2%chance
YesNo
$77.7M Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

55%chance
YesNo
$1.4M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance
YesNo
$14.2M Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)71%
YesNo
Greg Murphy (R)29%
YesNo
$1.1M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

4495%
YesNo
455%
YesNo
$868.6K Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

11%chance
YesNo
$16.8M Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

1%chance
YesNo