French Elections markets
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen42%
YesNo
David Lisnard16%
YesNo
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
YesNo
Marine Le Pen90%
YesNo
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Dominique de Villepin80%
YesNo
François Hollande17%
YesNo
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen90%
YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon49%
YesNo
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Jean-Luc Mélenchon44%
YesNo
David Lisnard19%
YesNo
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
6%Knafo
KnafoZemmour
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
March 314%
YesNo
December 312%
YesNo
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
55%chance
YesNo
Macron out by...?
2%chance
YesNo
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Jean-Luc Mélenchon30%
YesNo
Édouard Philippe28%
YesNo
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen85%
YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon9%
YesNo
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
5%chance
YesNo
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
13%chance
YesNo
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
5%chance
YesNo
French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
Bruno Retailleau35%
YesNo
David Lisnard25%
YesNo
French election called by...?
4%chance
YesNo
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Édouard Philippe67%
YesNo
Gabriel Attal16%
YesNo
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
10%chance
YesNo
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?
April 17, 202726%
YesNo
December 31, 20267%
YesNo