US Election markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
YesNo
J.D. Vance34%
YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff28%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Jon Ossoff21%
YesNo
JD Vance17%
YesNo

Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola (D)95%
YesNo
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)5%
YesNo

Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Scott Colom (D)97%
YesNo
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)3%
YesNo

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
None95%
YesNo
AK5%
YesNo

NC-03 House Election Winner
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)71%
YesNo
Greg Murphy (R)30%
YesNo

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
4494%
YesNo
455%
YesNo

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman100%
YesNo
Karen Bass<1%
YesNo

AZ-02 House Election Winner
Eli Crane (R)70%
YesNo
Jonathan Nez (D)30%
YesNo

CA-23 House Election Winner
Jay Obernolte (R)84%
YesNo
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)16%
YesNo

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 12-14%72%
YesNo
Other46%
YesNo

AK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party95%
YesNo
Bill Hill5%
YesNo

Kansas Governor Election Winner
Cindy Holscher (D)100%
YesNo
Ty Masterson (R)<1%
YesNo

VA-05 House Election Winner
John McGuire (R)99%
YesNo
Tom Perriello (D)<1%
YesNo

Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins100%
YesNo
Bernadette Wilson<1%
YesNo

CO-03 House Election Winner
Jeff Hurd (R)99%
YesNo
Dwayne Romero (D)<1%
YesNo

CO-04 House Election Winner
Eileen Laubacher (D)93%
YesNo
Lauren Boebert (R)6%
YesNo

NJ-02 House Election Winner
Zack Mullock (D)99%
YesNo
Jeff Van Drew (R)<1%
YesNo

TN-04 House Election Winner
Victoria Broderick (D)95%
YesNo
Scott DesJarlais (R)5%
YesNo

ME-02 House Election Winner
Paul LePage (R)99%
YesNo
Other50%
YesNo

NC-05 House Election Winner
Chuck Hubbard (D)95%
YesNo
Virginia Foxx (R)6%
YesNo

FL-26 House Election Winner
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)96%
YesNo
Nicole Locklin (D)4%
YesNo

Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?
Jon Ossoff94%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3%
YesNo

Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer84%
YesNo
Chris Van Hollen11%
YesNo

AZ-05 House Election Winner
Mark Lamb (R)96%
YesNo
Elizabeth Lee (D)4%
YesNo

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
582%
YesNo
617%
YesNo

Next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly24%
YesNo
Monica Crowley4%
YesNo

WA-05 House Election Winner
Michael Baumgartner (R)90%
YesNo
Carmela Conroy (D)11%
YesNo

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Other50%
YesNo
JD Vance30%
YesNo

AR-02 House Election Winner
French Hill (R)99%
YesNo
Chris Jones (D)1%
YesNo

FL-27 House Election Winner
María Elvira Salazar (R)95%
YesNo
Eliott Rodriguez (D)4%
YesNo

FL-13 House Election Winner
Anna Paulina Luna (R)98%
YesNo
Leela Gray (D)1%
YesNo

VA-01 House Election Winner
Shannon Taylor (D)99%
YesNo
Rob Wittman (R)<1%
YesNo

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190100%
YesNo
190-194<1%
YesNo

Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Mississippi100%
YesNo
Louisiana99%
YesNo

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
99%chance
YesNo

AZ-08 House Election Winner
Abraham Hamadeh (R)97%
YesNo
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)3%
YesNo

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Dems sweep95%
YesNo
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate3%
YesNo

MN-01 House Election Winner
Jake Johnson (D)94%
YesNo
Brad Finstad (R)6%
YesNo

NC-09 House Election Winner
Richard Ojeda (D)99%
YesNo
Richard Hudson (R)<1%
YesNo

Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 25%41%
YesNo
↑ 40%23%
YesNo

Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Gretchen Whitmer14%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
YesNo

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)
170-17452%
YesNo
175-17944%
YesNo

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
Eric Jones96%
YesNo
Candidate A50%
YesNo

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic68%
YesNo
Republican33%
YesNo

2028 Presidential Election: Alaska Winner
Republican Party77%
YesNo
Democratic Party22%
YesNo

Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 10%29%
YesNo
↑ 8%21%
YesNo

Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?
54%chance
YesNo

NC-13 House Election Winner
Paul Barringer (D)99%
YesNo
Brad Knott (R)<1%
YesNo