Japan markets

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
2.6-2.8%32%
YesNo
2.8-3.0%28%
YesNo

Bank of Japan Decision in December?
25 bps increase90%
YesNo
No change11%
YesNo

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
0.0%–0.8%29%
YesNo
-0.8%–0.0%17%
YesNo

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
72%chance
YesNo

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo

Bank of Japan Decision in March?
No Change48%
YesNo
25 bps increase40%
YesNo

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
65,000-70,00014%
YesNo
70,000-75,00014%
YesNo

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
3%chance
YesNo

Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
↑16524%
YesNo
↓1508%
YesNo

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%69%
YesNo
2.0-2.4%32%
YesNo

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
Indonesia69%
YesNo
Mexico67%
YesNo

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
Japan99%
YesNo
Chile2%
YesNo

Bank of Japan Decision in January?
No Change72%
YesNo
25 bps increase27%
YesNo

Japan recession in 2026?
14%chance
YesNo

US announces another yen intervention by...?
54%chance
YesNo

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%89%
YesNo
3.0-3.4%6%
YesNo

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
7%chance
YesNo

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
9%chance
YesNo