Courts markets
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202718%
YesNo
December 315%
YesNo
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 202730%
YesNo
December 31, 20262%
YesNo
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
June 30, 202828%
YesNo
December 31, 202723%
YesNo
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
19%chance
YesNo
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202724%
YesNo
December 31, 202612%
YesNo
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia22%
YesNo
Russia4%
YesNo
Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time56%
YesNo
60+27%
YesNo
Święczkowski charged by December 31?
54%chance
YesNo
Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?
68%chance
YesNo
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?
March 31, 202739%
YesNo
December 31, 202621%
YesNo
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
20%chance
YesNo
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?
11%chance
YesNo
Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case?
49%chance
YesNo
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
3%chance
YesNo
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
14%chance
YesNo
Mary Peltola charged by January 31?
4%chance
YesNo
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
<1%chance
YesNo
Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?
10%chance
YesNo
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?
51%chance
YesNo
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
11%chance
YesNo
Maduro guilty of all counts?
35%chance
YesNo
SCOTUS accepts Mahmoud Khalil case by...?
June 30, 202753%
YesNo
December 31, 202644%
YesNo
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?
21%chance
YesNo
Supreme Court sides with Suncor and Exxon in Boulder climate case?
63%chance
YesNo
Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?
41%chance
YesNo
Tompkins County District Attorney out by November 30?
<1%chance
YesNo
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
14%chance
YesNo
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
9%chance
YesNo
Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?
17%chance
YesNo
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
3%chance
YesNo
Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?
45%chance
YesNo
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
46%chance
YesNo
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
28%chance
YesNo
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
17%chance
YesNo
Chud the Builder convicted?
38%chance
YesNo
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
7%chance
YesNo
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
6%chance
YesNo
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
12%chance
YesNo
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%chance
YesNo
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
22%chance
YesNo