Primaries markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
YesNo
J.D. Vance33%
YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff27%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
YesNo

Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?
Jon Ossoff94%
YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3%
YesNo

Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 12%14%
YesNo
↓ 10%11%
YesNo

Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer9%
YesNo

Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 25%40%
YesNo
↑ 40%23%
YesNo

Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 10%30%
YesNo
↑ 8%22%
YesNo

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 4%60%
YesNo
↑ 8%14%
YesNo

Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 25%43%
YesNo
↓ 15%42%
YesNo

Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 4%57%
YesNo
↑ 8%22%
YesNo

Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 6%44%
YesNo
↑ 5%34%
YesNo

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?
96%chance
YesNo

Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 12%70%
YesNo
↓ 10%35%
YesNo

DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
13%chance
YesNo

AOC's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 10%36%
YesNo
↑ 20%23%
YesNo

Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 4%17%
YesNo
↑ 5%8%
YesNo

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
Candidate A50%
YesNo
Candidate B50%
YesNo

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Misti Cordell17%
YesNo
Austin Magee16%
YesNo

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028
Marco Rubio42%
YesNo
Ron DeSantis39%
YesNo

Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028
Greg Abbott42%
YesNo
Marco Rubio41%
YesNo

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez45%
YesNo
Jon Ossoff37%
YesNo

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)
James Comer84%
YesNo
Thomas Massie7%
YesNo

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)
Rocky Adkins58%
YesNo
Jacqueline Coleman37%
YesNo