Midterms markets

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)95%
YesNo
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)5%
YesNo
$6.1M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)97%
YesNo
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)3%
YesNo
$5.2M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None95%
YesNo
AK5%
YesNo
$78.1M Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)68%
YesNo
Greg Murphy (R)32%
YesNo
$1.1M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

4495%
YesNo
455%
YesNo
$870.6K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)68%
YesNo
Jonathan Nez (D)33%
YesNo
$251K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 12%+97%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo
$892.2K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

Jay Obernolte (R)85%
YesNo
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)14%
YesNo
$193.4K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 12-14%72%
YesNo
Other46%
YesNo
$359K Vol.

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party95%
YesNo
Bill Hill5%
YesNo
$111.5K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Cindy Holscher (D)100%
YesNo
Ty Masterson (R)<1%
YesNo
$843.9K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Winner

Jeff Hurd (R)99%
YesNo
Dwayne Romero (D)<1%
YesNo
$206.6K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)99%
YesNo
Tom Perriello (D)<1%
YesNo
$484.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate loser concedes by...?

November 43%
YesNo
November 3<1%
YesNo
$22.1K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins100%
YesNo
Bernadette Wilson<1%
YesNo
$1.9M Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 190100%
YesNo
190-194<1%
YesNo
$712.8K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Eileen Laubacher (D)89%
YesNo
Lauren Boebert (R)11%
YesNo
$139.4K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Winner

Zack Mullock (D)99%
YesNo
Jeff Van Drew (R)<1%
YesNo
$380.5K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

Mario Díaz-Balart (R)97%
YesNo
Nicole Locklin (D)3%
YesNo
$167.8K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Winner

Chuck Hubbard (D)94%
YesNo
Virginia Foxx (R)6%
YesNo
$109.3K Vol.

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

Democrats81%
YesNo
Republicans14%
YesNo
$77.3K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

Victoria Broderick (D)94%
YesNo
Scott DesJarlais (R)6%
YesNo
$167K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)99%
YesNo
Other50%
YesNo
$203K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)95%
YesNo
Elizabeth Lee (D)5%
YesNo
$88.9K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer83%
YesNo
Chris Van Hollen11%
YesNo
$195.9K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat Wins95%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo
$48.4K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

Michael Baumgartner (R)89%
YesNo
Carmela Conroy (D)11%
YesNo
$158.6K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 0-3%81%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo
$132.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

583%
YesNo
614%
YesNo
$47.3K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)99%
YesNo
Rob Wittman (R)<1%
YesNo
$231K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

María Elvira Salazar (R)94%
YesNo
Eliott Rodriguez (D)5%
YesNo
$154.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 18%+90%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo
$119.4K Vol.

FL-13 House Election Winner

Anna Paulina Luna (R)99%
YesNo
Leela Gray (D)1%
YesNo
$170.3K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Mississippi91%
YesNo
Alaska9%
YesNo
$112.1K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Mississippi100%
YesNo
Louisiana99%
YesNo
$212.8K Vol.

National Guard deployed to election sites by...?

November 3018%
YesNo
December 318%
YesNo
$7.9K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

Brown 3-6%98%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo
$123.4K Vol.

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

99%chance
YesNo
$113.7K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune84%
YesNo
John Barrasso9%
YesNo
$28.7K Vol.

AZ-08 House Election Winner

Abraham Hamadeh (R)97%
YesNo
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)3%
YesNo
$34.5K Vol.

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems55%
YesNo
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems19%
YesNo
$552.4K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Winner

Jake Johnson (D)93%
YesNo
Brad Finstad (R)7%
YesNo
$129K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Eric Jones94%
YesNo
Candidate A50%
YesNo
$42.6K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)

170-17450%
YesNo
175-17944%
YesNo
$38.3K Vol.

NC-09 House Election Winner

Richard Ojeda (D)99%
YesNo
Richard Hudson (R)<1%
YesNo
$503.5K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%49%
YesNo
Democrat 6-9%44%
YesNo
$6.9K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)97%
YesNo
Chris Jones (D)3%
YesNo
$182.2K Vol.

NC-13 House Election Winner

Paul Barringer (D)99%
YesNo
Brad Knott (R)<1%
YesNo
$898.7K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)99%
YesNo
Mike Lawler (R)<1%
YesNo
$333.4K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Mississippi89%
YesNo
Montana32%
YesNo