Midterms markets

Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola (D)95%
YesNo
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)5%
YesNo

Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Scott Colom (D)97%
YesNo
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)3%
YesNo

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
None95%
YesNo
AK5%
YesNo

NC-03 House Election Winner
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)68%
YesNo
Greg Murphy (R)32%
YesNo

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
4495%
YesNo
455%
YesNo

AZ-02 House Election Winner
Eli Crane (R)68%
YesNo
Jonathan Nez (D)33%
YesNo

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Talarico 12%+97%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo

CA-23 House Election Winner
Jay Obernolte (R)85%
YesNo
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)14%
YesNo

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 12-14%72%
YesNo
Other46%
YesNo

AK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party95%
YesNo
Bill Hill5%
YesNo

Kansas Governor Election Winner
Cindy Holscher (D)100%
YesNo
Ty Masterson (R)<1%
YesNo

CO-03 House Election Winner
Jeff Hurd (R)99%
YesNo
Dwayne Romero (D)<1%
YesNo

VA-05 House Election Winner
John McGuire (R)99%
YesNo
Tom Perriello (D)<1%
YesNo

Michigan Senate loser concedes by...?
November 43%
YesNo
November 3<1%
YesNo

Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins100%
YesNo
Bernadette Wilson<1%
YesNo

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190100%
YesNo
190-194<1%
YesNo

CO-04 House Election Winner
Eileen Laubacher (D)89%
YesNo
Lauren Boebert (R)11%
YesNo

NJ-02 House Election Winner
Zack Mullock (D)99%
YesNo
Jeff Van Drew (R)<1%
YesNo

FL-26 House Election Winner
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)97%
YesNo
Nicole Locklin (D)3%
YesNo

NC-05 House Election Winner
Chuck Hubbard (D)94%
YesNo
Virginia Foxx (R)6%
YesNo

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
Democrats81%
YesNo
Republicans14%
YesNo

TN-04 House Election Winner
Victoria Broderick (D)94%
YesNo
Scott DesJarlais (R)6%
YesNo

ME-02 House Election Winner
Paul LePage (R)99%
YesNo
Other50%
YesNo

AZ-05 House Election Winner
Mark Lamb (R)95%
YesNo
Elizabeth Lee (D)5%
YesNo

Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer83%
YesNo
Chris Van Hollen11%
YesNo

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Democrat Wins95%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo

WA-05 House Election Winner
Michael Baumgartner (R)89%
YesNo
Carmela Conroy (D)11%
YesNo

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
Moody 0-3%81%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
583%
YesNo
614%
YesNo

VA-01 House Election Winner
Shannon Taylor (D)99%
YesNo
Rob Wittman (R)<1%
YesNo

FL-27 House Election Winner
María Elvira Salazar (R)94%
YesNo
Eliott Rodriguez (D)5%
YesNo

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Ossoff 18%+90%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo

FL-13 House Election Winner
Anna Paulina Luna (R)99%
YesNo
Leela Gray (D)1%
YesNo

Closest Senate Race?
Mississippi91%
YesNo
Alaska9%
YesNo

Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Mississippi100%
YesNo
Louisiana99%
YesNo

National Guard deployed to election sites by...?
November 3018%
YesNo
December 318%
YesNo

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
Brown 3-6%98%
YesNo
Person A50%
YesNo

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
99%chance
YesNo

Next US Senate Minority Leader?
John Thune84%
YesNo
John Barrasso9%
YesNo

AZ-08 House Election Winner
Abraham Hamadeh (R)97%
YesNo
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)3%
YesNo

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems55%
YesNo
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems19%
YesNo

MN-01 House Election Winner
Jake Johnson (D)93%
YesNo
Brad Finstad (R)7%
YesNo

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
Eric Jones94%
YesNo
Candidate A50%
YesNo

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)
170-17450%
YesNo
175-17944%
YesNo

NC-09 House Election Winner
Richard Ojeda (D)99%
YesNo
Richard Hudson (R)<1%
YesNo

FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 3-6%49%
YesNo
Democrat 6-9%44%
YesNo

AR-02 House Election Winner
French Hill (R)97%
YesNo
Chris Jones (D)3%
YesNo

NC-13 House Election Winner
Paul Barringer (D)99%
YesNo
Brad Knott (R)<1%
YesNo

NY-17 House Election Winner
Cait Conley (D)99%
YesNo
Mike Lawler (R)<1%
YesNo

Which Senate races will be within 1%?
Mississippi89%
YesNo
Montana32%
YesNo