Economy markets
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase78%
YesNo
No change22%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase100%
YesNo
50+ bps decrease<1%
YesNo
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple61%
YesNo
NVIDIA39%
YesNo
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change81%
YesNo
25 bps decrease20%
YesNo
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)98%
YesNo
1 (25 bps)<1%
YesNo
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
78%chance
YesNo
Fed Decision in January?
No change78%
YesNo
25 bps increase20%
YesNo
Largest Company end of November 2026?
Apple65%
YesNo
NVIDIA37%
YesNo
Gas prices on November 5?
$4.1000-4.109999%
YesNo
<$4.1000<1%
YesNo
Fed Decision in March?
No change48%
YesNo
25 bps increase48%
YesNo
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA56%
YesNo
Company B50%
YesNo
Bank of England decision in December?
No change65%
YesNo
25 bps increase28%
YesNo
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.65%89%
YesNo
Below 4.60%71%
YesNo
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%20%
YesNo
5.5%8%
YesNo
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%10%
YesNo
Above 5%7%
YesNo
US recession by end of 2026?
5%chance
YesNo
Bank of England Decision in February?
25 bps increase74%
YesNo
No Change15%
YesNo
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%89%
YesNo
3.8%9%
YesNo
Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)
-0.2 to -0.1%64%
YesNo
0.0 to 0.1%22%
YesNo