Geopolitics markets
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31100%
YesNo
November 2100%
YesNo
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot56%
YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
YesNo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
November 4100%
YesNo
November 2100%
YesNo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 3170%
YesNo
December 3144%
YesNo
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 598%
YesNo
November 693%
YesNo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%chance
YesNo
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
55%chance
YesNo
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202723%
YesNo
December 319%
YesNo
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 3135%
YesNo
November 3019%
YesNo
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot98%
YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu3%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
4%chance
YesNo
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 318%
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro92%
YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez8%
YesNo
Netanyahu out by...?
June 30, 202746%
YesNo
March 31, 202738%
YesNo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 202771%
YesNo
November 30, 202769%
YesNo
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 3123%
YesNo
November 3014%
YesNo
US imports Russian diesel by...?
March 3120%
YesNo
January 3117%
YesNo