Trump Cabinet · Geopolitics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

55% chance
Yes55%
$1.4M Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027
Rules are shown in their original language.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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