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Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 12-14%72%

Trump impeached and removed before 2028?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer83%

Chris Van Hollen11%

How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?

Government shutdown by...?

Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Barrasso9%

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

John Fetterman7%

Kirsten Gillibrand7%

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; No Phase II92%

Dem sweep; Phase II deal5%

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; No recession62%

Dem sweep; Recession25%

Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; China not #187%

Dem sweep; China #1 AI13%

Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?

Dem sweep; Dem wins 202861%

Dem sweep; Dem loses 202840%

Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas69%

Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.5032%

House Majority Leader of the next Congress?

Katherine Clark97%

Hakeem Jeffries2%

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries95%

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202833%

December 31, 202722%

Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?

Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken99%

Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds<1%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; No US stake71%

Dem sweep; US stake26%

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

June 30, 202765%

January 31, 202739%

Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas94%

Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.504%

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Export-control chip security42%

Data center utility cost protection22%

Which party will win the Senate in 2028?

Democratic Party88%

Republican Party12%

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?

House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

Steve Scalise35%

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?