Canada markets
Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)
-0.2 to -0.1%64%
YesNo
0.0 to 0.1%22%
YesNo
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change66%
YesNo
25 bps increase34%
YesNo
Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner
Joy O'Donnell64%
YesNo
Kevin Davis18%
YesNo
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%32%
YesNo
2.5–2.9%17%
YesNo
Next Premier of British Columbia
Lorne Doerkson99%
YesNo
David Eby<1%
YesNo
Yorkton—Melville By-Election Winner
Nelson Pohl97%
YesNo
Aaron Kienle2%
YesNo
Bank of Canada Decision in January?
No Change51%
YesNo
25 bps increase37%
YesNo
Bank of Canada Decision in March?
No Change47%
YesNo
25 bps increase30%
YesNo
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
November 3050%
YesNo
December 3149%
YesNo
Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner
Guy Cormier78%
YesNo
Zumretay Arkin18%
YesNo
Scarborough North By-Election Winner
James Li85%
YesNo
Gurmit Sandhu13%
YesNo
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner
Caroline Émond59%
YesNo
Chantal Soucy25%
YesNo
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
Lee Fairclough61%
YesNo
Navdeep Bains38%
YesNo
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
2%chance
YesNo
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Sheldon Clare25%
YesNo
Aaron Gunn13%
YesNo
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
2%chance
YesNo
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie By-Election Winner
Jean-Sébastien Vallée63%
YesNo
Pierre Céré34%
YesNo
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
December 3186%
YesNo
October 3179%
YesNo
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?
79%chance
YesNo
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
11%chance
YesNo
Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Paul Choi54%
YesNo
David Xie37%
YesNo
Will Alberta join the US?
1%chance
YesNo
Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?
20%chance
YesNo
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...?
March 3122%
YesNo
December 3113%
YesNo
Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kristina Loewen56%
YesNo
Loyal Wooldridge16%
YesNo
Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Bert Chen75%
YesNo
Debra Toporowski13%
YesNo
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
7%chance
YesNo
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?
9%chance
YesNo
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?
December 31, 20278%
YesNo
December 31, 20262%
YesNo
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
June 30, 202732%
YesNo
December 31, 202732%
YesNo
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
Lakhwinder Jhaj6%
YesNo
Pam Alexis4%
YesNo
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
8%chance
YesNo
USMCA extended in 2026?
7%chance
YesNo
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
4%chance
YesNo
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
6%chance
YesNo
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
6%chance
YesNo
Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
↓1.3055%
YesNo
↓1.3351%
YesNo
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
9%chance
YesNo
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
18%chance
YesNo
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
57%Up
UpDown
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Another Canada election called by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
11%chance
YesNo