Oil markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 3170%
YesNo
December 3144%
YesNo
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
↓ $8571%
YesNo
↑ $9563%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 3135%
YesNo
November 3019%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
4%chance
YesNo
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 318%
YesNo
US imports Russian diesel by...?
March 3119%
YesNo
January 3118%
YesNo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 318%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 3128%
YesNo
November 3020%
YesNo
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of November 2 2026?
↓ $8523%
YesNo
↑ $9519%
YesNo
Gas prices on November 5?
$4.1000-4.109998%
YesNo
<$4.10001%
YesNo
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202690%
YesNo
December8%
YesNo
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
December 3139%
YesNo
November 3024%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
<1%chance
YesNo
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 5?
$8956%
YesNo
$9036%
YesNo
What will gas hit by end of November?
↓ $4.10100%
YesNo
↓ $4.0594%
YesNo
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
June 30, 202828%
YesNo
December 31, 202723%
YesNo
Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 3116%
YesNo
November 306%
YesNo
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
10+36%
YesNo
20+23%
YesNo
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 5?
76%Up
UpDown
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?
0-439%
YesNo
15-1918%
YesNo
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
13%chance
YesNo
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
10%chance
YesNo
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
32M+97%
YesNo
30M+96%
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
25-2946%
YesNo
30-3436%
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-2967%
YesNo
30-3433%
YesNo
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
36%chance
YesNo
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 3095%
YesNo
October 2994%
YesNo
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Frontier Airlines8%
YesNo
JetBlue6%
YesNo
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
November 3044%
YesNo
October 313%
YesNo
What will gas hit the week of November 2?
↓ $4.12100%
YesNo
↓ $4.1094%
YesNo
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 3030%
YesNo
October 312%
YesNo
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+90%
YesNo
31M+85%
YesNo
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
7%chance
YesNo
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
7%chance
YesNo
Panama Canal effectively closed by...?
December 3116%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
3%chance
YesNo
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
20-2448%
YesNo
25-2947%
YesNo
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?
12%chance
YesNo
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%chance
YesNo
IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?
16%chance
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
190-20949%
YesNo
170-18928%
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
150-16946%
YesNo
190-20946%
YesNo
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
25-2947%
YesNo
20-2439%
YesNo
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
10%chance
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
0-595%
YesNo
5-103%
YesNo
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
3%chance
YesNo
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?
50%Up
UpDown