Iran Regime markets
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202723%
YesNo
December 319%
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei92%
YesNo
No Head of State2%
YesNo
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
2%chance
YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
11%chance
YesNo
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 31, 20267%
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
21%chance
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
14%chance
YesNo
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
2%chance
YesNo
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
2%chance
YesNo
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
11%chance
YesNo
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2%chance
YesNo
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
7%chance
YesNo
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
27%chance
YesNo
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
10%chance
YesNo
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
3%chance
YesNo
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
6%chance
YesNo
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
2%chance
YesNo
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
6%chance
YesNo