Strait of Hormuz markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 3170%
YesNo
December 3144%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 3135%
YesNo
November 3019%
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
4%chance
YesNo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 318%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 3128%
YesNo
November 3020%
YesNo
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202690%
YesNo
December8%
YesNo
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
3%chance
YesNo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
<1%chance
YesNo
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
10+36%
YesNo
20+23%
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?
0-439%
YesNo
15-1918%
YesNo
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
10%chance
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
25-2946%
YesNo
30-3436%
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-2967%
YesNo
30-3433%
YesNo
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
36%chance
YesNo
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 3095%
YesNo
October 2994%
YesNo
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
7%chance
YesNo
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
7%chance
YesNo
Panama Canal effectively closed by...?
December 3116%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
How many UKMTO notices November 9–15?
16+46%
YesNo
8-1144%
YesNo
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
3%chance
YesNo
How many UKMTO notices November 2–8?
4-748%
YesNo
8-1145%
YesNo
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
20-2448%
YesNo
25-2947%
YesNo
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
3%chance
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
190-20949%
YesNo
170-18928%
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
150-16946%
YesNo
190-20946%
YesNo
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
25-2947%
YesNo
20-2439%
YesNo
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
0-595%
YesNo
5-103%
YesNo
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?
25-2946%
YesNo
35-3946%
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
190-20948%
YesNo
170-18947%
YesNo
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
10+6%
YesNo
20+4%
YesNo
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
September 2891%
YesNo
September 2991%
YesNo
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
US18%
YesNo
Australia16%
YesNo
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
3%chance
YesNo