Lebanon markets
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31, 202734%
YesNo
June 30, 202721%
YesNo
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
479%
YesNo
512%
YesNo
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
47%chance
YesNo
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
13%chance
YesNo
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
15%chance
YesNo
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 3115%
YesNo
December 316%
YesNo
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
12%chance
YesNo
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
27%chance
YesNo
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
38%chance
YesNo
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
11%chance
YesNo
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
11%chance
YesNo
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
7%chance
YesNo
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
4%chance
YesNo
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2%chance
YesNo
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
3%chance
YesNo