Nuclear markets
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 317%
YesNo
November 302%
YesNo
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)16%
YesNo
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14%
YesNo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
3%chance
YesNo
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 3157%
YesNo
Qatar15%
YesNo
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
8%chance
YesNo
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
6%chance
YesNo
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
5%chance
YesNo
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
9%chance
YesNo
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
10%chance
YesNo