Geopolitics · Middle East
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4% chance
Yes4%
Rules are shown in their original language.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.