Yemen markets
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 318%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
November 3092%
YesNo
December 3175%
YesNo
Saudi airspace closed by...?
10%chance
YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...?
November 697%
YesNo
November 789%
YesNo
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
December 3128%
YesNo
November 307%
YesNo
Houthis target Pakistan by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela6%
YesNo
Lebanon6%
YesNo
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
December 3133%
YesNo
October 311%
YesNo
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
30%chance
YesNo
Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 3116%
YesNo
November 306%
YesNo
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
December 3131%
YesNo
November 3017%
YesNo
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
5%chance
YesNo
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 3111%
YesNo
November 305%
YesNo
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
October 595%
YesNo
October 495%
YesNo
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
December 3126%
YesNo
November 3022%
YesNo
Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?
7%chance
YesNo
Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
November 1571%
YesNo
November 3070%
YesNo
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
December 316%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
18%chance
YesNo
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 318%
YesNo
October 311%
YesNo
Turkey military action against Yemen by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?
14%chance
YesNo
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
November 3044%
YesNo
October 313%
YesNo
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 3030%
YesNo
October 312%
YesNo
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
7%chance
YesNo
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?
44%chance
YesNo
Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?
6%chance
YesNo
Panama Canal effectively closed by...?
December 3116%
YesNo
November 303%
YesNo
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
9%chance
YesNo
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
6%chance
YesNo
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
14%chance
YesNo
Houthis target Syria by...?
5%chance
YesNo
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?
December 313%
YesNo
October 31<1%
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
190-20949%
YesNo
170-18928%
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
150-16946%
YesNo
190-20946%
YesNo
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
14%chance
YesNo
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?
<1%chance
YesNo
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
190-20948%
YesNo
170-18947%
YesNo
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?
December 319%
YesNo
November 304%
YesNo
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
21%chance
YesNo
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?
12%chance
YesNo
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
September 2549%
YesNo
September 2744%
YesNo
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
November 307%
YesNo
October 31<1%
YesNo