Israel markets
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31100%
YesNo
November 2100%
YesNo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
November 4100%
YesNo
November 2100%
YesNo
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot56%
YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
YesNo
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 599%
YesNo
November 694%
YesNo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%chance
YesNo
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot97%
YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu3%
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Netanyahu out by...?
June 30, 202746%
YesNo
March 31, 202738%
YesNo
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
13%chance
YesNo
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 3128%
YesNo
November 3013%
YesNo
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
3%chance
YesNo
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
2%chance
YesNo
Next Israeli government formed by...?
June 30, 202776%
YesNo
February 28, 202756%
YesNo
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
<1%chance
YesNo
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Together69%
YesNo
Yashar64%
YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
11%chance
YesNo
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela6%
YesNo
Lebanon6%
YesNo
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31, 202734%
YesNo
June 30, 202721%
YesNo
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems55%
YesNo
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems19%
YesNo
Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?
No government formed46%
YesNo
Other23%
YesNo
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?
January 31, 202765%
YesNo
December 31, 202642%
YesNo
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
157%
YesNo
233%
YesNo
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 31, 20267%
YesNo
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No Next Minister by Feb 2842%
YesNo
Yair Lapid25%
YesNo
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; No Phase II92%
YesNo
Dem sweep; Phase II deal5%
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
21%chance
YesNo
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
45%chance
YesNo
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
14%chance
YesNo
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman8%
YesNo
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No Next Minister by Feb 2848%
YesNo
Yoram Cohen22%
YesNo
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland11%
YesNo
Jordan7%
YesNo
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
43%chance
YesNo
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No Next Minister by Feb 2844%
YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot14%
YesNo
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
479%
YesNo
512%
YesNo
Netanyahu arrested by…?
3%chance
YesNo
Next Israeli government # of seats?
<5846%
YesNo
58-6019%
YesNo
How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?
No vote by February 2848%
YesNo
57–5931%
YesNo
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
47%chance
YesNo
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
18%chance
YesNo
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
13%chance
YesNo
Bank of Israel Decision in November?
No Change85%
YesNo
25 bps decrease12%
YesNo
Next Israeli government a minority government?
53%chance
YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
June 30, 202713%
YesNo
March 31, 202710%
YesNo
Bank of Israel Decision in February?
No Change72%
YesNo
50+ bps increase24%
YesNo
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No Next Minister by Feb 2845%
YesNo
Yoram Cohen14%
YesNo
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
15%chance
YesNo
Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?
16%chance
YesNo
Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?
21%chance
YesNo
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Bank of Israel Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease38%
YesNo
25 bps increase29%
YesNo