Gaza markets

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; No Phase II92%
YesNo
Dem sweep; Phase II deal5%
YesNo

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland11%
YesNo
Jordan7%
YesNo

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
9%chance
YesNo

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
8%chance
YesNo

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
6%chance
YesNo

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
80%chance
YesNo

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
6%chance
YesNo

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
4%chance
YesNo

Palestinian elections delayed again?
56%chance
YesNo

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
14%chance
YesNo

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
7%chance
YesNo

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
4%chance
YesNo

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
13%chance
YesNo

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
6%chance
YesNo

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
6%chance
YesNo