Ukraine markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 202771%
YesNo
November 30, 202769%
YesNo
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 202742%
YesNo
March 31, 202719%
YesNo
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3112%
YesNo
November 304%
YesNo
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 20279%
YesNo
March 31, 20276%
YesNo
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?
December 31, 202731%
YesNo
June 30, 202726%
YesNo
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3196%
YesNo
November 3096%
YesNo
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE95%
YesNo
No Talks by December 31, 20273%
YesNo
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China88%
YesNo
No meeting by December 3112%
YesNo
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 202795%
YesNo
US1%
YesNo
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
2%chance
YesNo
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
6%chance
YesNo
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3%chance
YesNo
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 202721%
YesNo
December 31, 20266%
YesNo
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 202781%
YesNo
United States4%
YesNo
Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3188%
YesNo
November 3088%
YesNo
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen49%
YesNo
Mark Rutte44%
YesNo
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 202729%
YesNo
June 30, 202716%
YesNo
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
9%chance
YesNo
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
13%chance
YesNo
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
November 689%
YesNo
November 789%
YesNo
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
June 30, 202728%
YesNo
December 31, 202724%
YesNo
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
2%chance
YesNo
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
8%chance
YesNo
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
November 3095%
YesNo
November 1594%
YesNo
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
15%chance
YesNo
Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?
November 3098%
YesNo
November 1598%
YesNo
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
3%chance
YesNo
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?
December 31, 202723%
YesNo
June 30, 202716%
YesNo
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
1%chance
YesNo
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31, 202736%
YesNo
June 30, 202720%
YesNo
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
4%chance
YesNo
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 31, 202714%
YesNo
December 31, 20264%
YesNo
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?
June 30, 202724%
YesNo
December 31, 202723%
YesNo
Ukraine peace referendum passed by...?
December 31, 202732%
YesNo
June 30, 20278%
YesNo
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
<1%chance
YesNo
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
19%chance
YesNo
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?
December 31, 202727%
YesNo
June 30, 202721%
YesNo
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
8%chance
YesNo
Russia nuclear test by...?
4%chance
YesNo
U.S. nuclear test by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?
Zelenskyy21%
YesNo
Putin14%
YesNo
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
5%chance
YesNo
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
November 686%
YesNo
November 882%
YesNo
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
December 31, 202728%
YesNo
June 30, 202724%
YesNo
Another NATO article 4 by...?
14%chance
YesNo
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
5%chance
YesNo
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?
December 31, 202717%
YesNo
June 30, 20277%
YesNo
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
4%chance
YesNo
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by...?
December 31, 202728%
YesNo
June 30, 202712%
YesNo
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202714%
YesNo
June 30, 20279%
YesNo