OpenAI markets
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google62%
YesNo
Anthropic33%
YesNo
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 1599%
YesNo
December 3199%
YesNo
GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?
November 527%
YesNo
November 623%
YesNo
Largest private company end of November?
Anthropic92%
YesNo
OpenAI9%
YesNo
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX68%
YesNo
Anthropic32%
YesNo
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
November 2–November 852%
YesNo
November 9–November 1536%
YesNo
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T28%
YesNo
$1.25T–$1.5T19%
YesNo
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Rank Debut?
Top 2030%
YesNo
Top 1014%
YesNo
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
92%Anthropic
AnthropicOpenAI
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+81%
YesNo
1440+74%
YesNo
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 202756%
YesNo
December 31, 202612%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 202697%
YesNo
1.5T+<1%
YesNo
2nd largest private company end of November?
OpenAI95%
YesNo
Anthropic4%
YesNo
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?
December 3197%
YesNo
November 3086%
YesNo
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+25%
YesNo
1450+19%
YesNo
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in November 2026?
<344%
YesNo
326%
YesNo
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
55%+94%
YesNo
60%+88%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+37%
YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 202732%
YesNo
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia22%
YesNo
Russia4%
YesNo
Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; No US stake71%
YesNo
Dem sweep; US stake26%
YesNo
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by November 30?
↑$1.37T48%
YesNo
↓$1.15T45%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 202746%
YesNo
March 31, 202720%
YesNo
OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
$1.30T+65%
YesNo
$1.20-$1.30T35%
YesNo
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones12%
YesNo
Glasses8%
YesNo
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.3T71%
YesNo
↑$1.35T62%
YesNo
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 202646%
YesNo
Google34%
YesNo
3rd largest private company end of November?
ByteDance98%
YesNo
Databricks<1%
YesNo
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 202922%
YesNo
December 31, 202818%
YesNo
GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
$40+69%
YesNo
$50+40%
YesNo
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
8%chance
YesNo
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
3%chance
YesNo
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
December 3176%
YesNo
November 3055%
YesNo
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
June 3091%
YesNo
December 3187%
YesNo
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
November 1564%
YesNo
October 317%
YesNo
GPT-7 released by...?
December 31, 202787%
YesNo
June 30, 202750%
YesNo
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2?
DeepSeek95%
YesNo
Google1%
YesNo
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
19%chance
YesNo
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B73%
YesNo
$1T65%
YesNo
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2?
OpenAI99%
YesNo
Google10%
YesNo
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
7%chance
YesNo
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
↓ $4564%
YesNo
↓ $4051%
YesNo
How many Codex resets week of November 2?
355%
YesNo
147%
YesNo
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+79%
YesNo
60%+35%
YesNo
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
↓ $4073%
YesNo
↓ $3038%
YesNo
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
18%chance
YesNo
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
14%chance
YesNo
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs54%
YesNo
Morgan Stanley35%
YesNo
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
9%chance
YesNo
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
79%chance
YesNo
OpenAI’s valuation end of December 2026?
$1.00-$1.15T41%
YesNo
$1.45-$1.60T41%
YesNo