Elon Musk markets
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX68%
YesNo
Anthropic31%
YesNo
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 202742%
YesNo
June 30, 202728%
YesNo
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202771%
YesNo
June 30, 202753%
YesNo
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 31, 20261%
YesNo
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 202689%
YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?78%
YesNo
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 202767%
YesNo
December 31, 20262%
YesNo
Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?
March 3116%
YesNo
December 3110%
YesNo
Grok 5 released by...?
December 3110%
YesNo
November 302%
YesNo
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<579%
YesNo
5-621%
YesNo
X banned in any European country by December 31?
10%chance
YesNo
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk96%
YesNo
Bernard Arnault<1%
YesNo
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?
April 30, 202731%
YesNo
December 31, 202610%
YesNo
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
400k to 425k27%
YesNo
425k to 450k17%
YesNo
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
24%chance
YesNo
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
2%chance
YesNo
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
28%chance
YesNo
How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?
<1392%
YesNo
138%
YesNo
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?
December 31, 20279%
YesNo
December 31, 20262%
YesNo
1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?
40%chance
YesNo
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
9%chance
YesNo
Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30?
$900B-$1.00T43%
YesNo
$800-$900B31%
YesNo
Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028?
34%chance
YesNo
Will any state legalize flying the Tesla Roadster by December 31, 2028?
13%chance
YesNo
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?
56%chance
YesNo
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
8%chance
YesNo
Another Elon baby by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
11%chance
YesNo
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
June 30, 202790%
YesNo
December 31, 202623%
YesNo
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
77%chance
YesNo
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 by...?
March 31, 202750%
YesNo
December 31, 20264%
YesNo
Elon Bull Run Combo
2%chance
YesNo
3rd richest person on December 31?
Michael Dell42%
YesNo
Bernard Arnault41%
YesNo
2nd richest person on December 31?
Jeff Bezos58%
YesNo
Michael Dell30%
YesNo
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
82%SpaceX
SpaceXOpenAI
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
3%chance
YesNo
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
4%chance
YesNo
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
8%chance
YesNo
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
2%chance
YesNo
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
6%chance
YesNo