Big Tech markets
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.5–$1.75T27%
YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T24%
YesNo
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple62%
YesNo
NVIDIA34%
YesNo
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
100%chance
YesNo
Largest Company end of November 2026?
Apple74%
YesNo
NVIDIA27%
YesNo
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX68%
YesNo
Anthropic32%
YesNo
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+49%
YesNo
1.5–1.8T26%
YesNo
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T92%
YesNo
↑$1.75T79%
YesNo
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 202681%
YesNo
December 20269%
YesNo
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
$75B to $85B34%
YesNo
$95B to $105B27%
YesNo
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T28%
YesNo
$1.25T–$1.5T19%
YesNo
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
92%Anthropic
AnthropicOpenAI
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T66%
YesNo
$1.75–$2.00T20%
YesNo
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic91%
YesNo
Celonis12%
YesNo
What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO?
4% to 5%32%
YesNo
5% to 6%26%
YesNo
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA61%
YesNo
Company B50%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 202697%
YesNo
1.5T+<1%
YesNo
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202770%
YesNo
June 30, 202756%
YesNo
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
TikTok Pro - Events66%
YesNo
Muse from Meta19%
YesNo
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 202723%
YesNo
December 31, 20268%
YesNo
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 202696%
YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?78%
YesNo
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Microsoft79%
YesNo
Company A50%
YesNo
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$200B62%
YesNo
↑$215B21%
YesNo
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 202720%
YesNo
December 31, 20261%
YesNo
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
4%chance
YesNo
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T42%
YesNo
$3.00-$3.50T24%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+37%
YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 202732%
YesNo
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?
Microsoft90%
YesNo
Alphabet9%
YesNo
What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?
Growth 10+ times99%
YesNo
Take Rate86%
YesNo
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia22%
YesNo
Russia4%
YesNo
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Chromagraph Camera52%
YesNo
Shadowrocket40%
YesNo
2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?
NVIDIA67%
YesNo
Apple31%
YesNo
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 202768%
YesNo
December 31, 20262%
YesNo
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$5.00-$5.50T31%
YesNo
$4.50-$5.00T19%
YesNo
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+97%
YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 20272%
YesNo
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics11%
YesNo
PayPal11%
YesNo
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$5.00-$5.50T38%
YesNo
$4.50-$5.00T27%
YesNo
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANT98%
YesNo
$ANTH1%
YesNo
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Unusual Machines25%
YesNo
Anduril14%
YesNo
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$3.50-$4.00T52%
YesNo
<$3.50T39%
YesNo
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 202746%
YesNo
March 31, 202720%
YesNo
OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
$1.30T+65%
YesNo
$1.20-$1.30T35%
YesNo
Grok 5 released by...?
December 3111%
YesNo
November 302%
YesNo
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.5T75%
YesNo
$1.75T48%
YesNo
Deepseek IPO by...?
December 31, 202766%
YesNo
September 30, 202764%
YesNo
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones12%
YesNo
Glasses8%
YesNo
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
17%chance
YesNo
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
2%chance
YesNo
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
99%chance
YesNo
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.3T71%
YesNo
↑$1.35T62%
YesNo
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 202646%
YesNo
Google34%
YesNo