Macro Indicators markets
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase78%
YesNo
No change22%
YesNo
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase100%
YesNo
50+ bps decrease<1%
YesNo
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change82%
YesNo
25 bps decrease20%
YesNo
Fed Decision in January?
No change74%
YesNo
25 bps increase24%
YesNo
Fed Decision in March?
25 bps increase52%
YesNo
No change42%
YesNo
Bank of England decision in December?
No change57%
YesNo
25 bps increase38%
YesNo
Fed Decision in April?
No change56%
YesNo
25 bps increase20%
YesNo
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%10%
YesNo
Above 5%7%
YesNo
Bank of England Decision in February?
25 bps increase71%
YesNo
No Change21%
YesNo
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%90%
YesNo
3.8%8%
YesNo
Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)
-0.2 to -0.1%64%
YesNo
0.0 to 0.1%22%
YesNo
JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026
7.5M to 7.6M25%
YesNo
7.6M to 7.7M25%
YesNo
Core PCE YoY - October 2026
3.2%35%
YesNo
3.3%27%
YesNo
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
No Change82%
YesNo
25 bps decrease7%
YesNo
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%30%
YesNo
3.2%27%
YesNo
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%52%
YesNo
4.7-5.0%20%
YesNo
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
2.7% to 2.9%48%
YesNo
3.0%+33%
YesNo
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
2.6-2.8%37%
YesNo
2.8-3.0%29%
YesNo
Bank of Brazil Decision in January?
No Change53%
YesNo
25 bps decrease20%
YesNo
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
25 bps increase89%
YesNo
No change11%
YesNo
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%32%
YesNo
2.5–2.9%17%
YesNo
Bank of Russia Decision in March?
No Change52%
YesNo
25 bps decrease29%
YesNo
ISM Manufacturing PMI - November 2026
54.0 to 54.928%
YesNo
53.0 to 53.926%
YesNo
How many jobs added in October?
100k+31%
YesNo
25k to 50k20%
YesNo
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%44%
YesNo
4.1%25%
YesNo
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%51%
YesNo
0.9% to 1.0%29%
YesNo
Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
1.9 to 2.1%47%
YesNo
1.6 to 1.8%43%
YesNo
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
2.0% to 2.5%21%
YesNo
1.5% to 2.0%18%
YesNo
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
No Change59%
YesNo
25 bps increase19%
YesNo
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0%69%
YesNo
0-1.0%31%
YesNo
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%42%
YesNo
0.2%35%
YesNo
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%77%
YesNo
↓ 0.25%2%
YesNo
How many US births in 2026?
3.56M–3.59M40%
YesNo
3.53M–3.56M37%
YesNo
Bank of Mexico Decision in December?
No change79%
YesNo
25 bps decrease19%
YesNo
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
2.6%89%
YesNo
2.7%7%
YesNo
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%56%
YesNo
3.0–3.4%23%
YesNo
Price of Dozen Eggs in October?
$2.20 to $2.3074%
YesNo
$2.10 to $2.2015%
YesNo
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.6–0.7%46%
YesNo
0.8–0.9%29%
YesNo
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%69%
YesNo
2.0-2.4%32%
YesNo
Core PCE MoM - October 2026
0.2%35%
YesNo
0.3%31%
YesNo
Bank of Russia Decision in February?
No Change37%
YesNo
25 bps decrease34%
YesNo
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
0.2%44%
YesNo
0.3%37%
YesNo
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
4.6-4.9%53%
YesNo
4.3-4.6%45%
YesNo
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%61%
YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%21%
YesNo
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+87%
YesNo
1.0–1.2%8%
YesNo
ECB Interest Rates: March 2027
No Change54%
YesNo
25 bps increase42%
YesNo
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%62%
YesNo
3.00% to 3.49%27%
YesNo
October Inflation UK - Annual
3.7-3.9%50%
YesNo
4.0-4.2%38%
YesNo
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
2%chance
YesNo
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change90%
YesNo
Decrease8%
YesNo